Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela |
39.73% ( 0.29) | 27.32% ( -0.07) | 32.95% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.48% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.01% ( 0.23) | 55.99% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.92% ( 0.18) | 77.08% ( -0.18) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.46% ( 0.27) | 27.55% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.94% ( 0.35) | 63.06% ( -0.35) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.29% ( -0.03) | 31.72% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.86% ( -0.03) | 68.14% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |