Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 18, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
0 - 1
Vizela

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guzzo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vizela

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 0-4 Braga
Saturday, March 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Vizela
44.09% ( -0.55)	26.34% ( 0)	29.57% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 51.15% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.76% (

0.23)

53.24% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.2% (

0.2)

74.8% (

-0.2)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.98% (

-0.16)

24.02% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.72% (

-0.23)

58.27% (

0.23)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.31% (

0.53)

32.68% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.76% (

0.59)

69.23% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 44.08%

Vizela 29.57%

Draw 26.34%

Portimonense	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.08%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.57%