Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 18.02% ( | 21.39% ( | 60.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( | 43.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( | 66.06% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( | 37.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.37% ( | 74.63% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( | 13.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.55% ( | 41.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.13% ( 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 2-0 @ 2.49% ( 3-1 @ 1.59% ( 3-2 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.02% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0-2 @ 10.24% ( 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0-3 @ 6.72% ( 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0-4 @ 3.31% ( 1-4 @ 3.22% ( 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0-5 @ 1.3% ( 1-5 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.58% |