Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 31, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Gil Vicente logo

Estoril
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Marques (1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Chaves
Saturday, March 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawGil Vicente
32.68% (0.0020000000000024 0)26.81% (0.013999999999999 0.01)40.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.98% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.95% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)54.05% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)75.48% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)30.91% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)67.2% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)26.21% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.052 -0.05)61.31% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 32.68%
    Gil Vicente 40.5%
    Draw 26.8%
Estoril PraiaDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.5%

How you voted: Estoril vs Gil Vicente

Estoril Praia
28.2%
Draw
23.1%
Gil Vicente
48.7%
39
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 8.15pm
Mar 4, 2022 8.15pm
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Estoril
2-2
Gil Vicente
Fonte (11'), Franco (45+2' pen.)
Rosier (29'), Chiquinho (38')
Lino (42'), Navarro (50')
Carlos (44'), Costa (65'), Leautey (75'), Pedrinho (86')