/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Festlog.png)
-
Marko Grujic
9'
-
Andre Franco
31'
-
Mehdi Taremi
73'
-
Tiago Gouveia
27'
-
Chico Geraldes
67'
Porto vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F07%2Fporto.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.09%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 4.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 4-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.87%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Porto
85.09%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
10.27%
▼
(-0.04)
Estoril Praia
4.65%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
43.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.17%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
29.84%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
49.01%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
50.99%
▼
(-0.13)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
95.12%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
4.88%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
80.38%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
19.62%
▼
(-0.09)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5
45.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
54.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
12.36%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
87.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Porto
85.08%
Draw
10.27%
Estoril Praia
4.65%
Porto
3-0
@
12.23%
2-0 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.4%
2-1 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24%
6-1 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 85.08%
2-0 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.4%
2-1 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24%
6-1 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 85.08%
Draw
1-1
@
4.87%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 10.27%
0-0 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 10.27%
Estoril Praia
0-1
@
1.61%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 4.65%
1-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 4.65%
