Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Pedro Goncalves 87' goal
  • goal Antony 38'

Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 6.00pm
Casa Pia 3 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Pedro Goncalves

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 3.30pm
Arouca 1 - 0 Maritimo
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Rafa Mujica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.54%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 77.79% (+0.91)
Draw 14.2% (-0.39)
Arouca 8.02% (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.86% (-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.91% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 35.09% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 42.91% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 57.09% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 24.53% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 75.48% (+0.03)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 92.7% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 7.31% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 73.58% (+0.48)
Under 1.5 26.42% (-0.47)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 51.64% (-1.22)
Under 0.5 48.37% (+1.23)
Over 1.5 16.5% (-0.91)
Under 1.5 83.5% (+0.91)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 77.77%
Draw 14.2%
Arouca 8.02%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 12.09% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 10.54% (+0.30)
1-0 @ 9.25% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 7.66% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 6.9% (+0.27)
4-1 @ 5.01% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 3.61% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.12)
5-1 @ 2.62% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.06)
6-0 @ 1.58% (+0.09)
6-1 @ 1.14% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 77.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.72% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 14.2%
Arouca
0-1 @ 2.57% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 2.44% (-0.15)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 8.02%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Oday Dabbagh 58' goal
  • goal Paulinho 45'+7'
  • goal Paulinho 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2022 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Joao Basso 47' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dario Essugo 26' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 36' yellowcard
  • Islam Slimani 46' goal
  • Islam Slimani 52' goal
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 15'
  • yellowcard David Simao 40'
  • yellowcard Nino Galovic 65'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 85'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2021 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Arsenio Nunes 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Oday Dabbagh 51' goal
  • Leandro Silva 63' yellowcard
  • Tiago Araujo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Nunes 16'
  • yellowcard Pablo Sarabia 45'
  • goal Nuno Santos 54'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 63'
  • yellowcard Pedro Porro 63'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 77'
  • yellowcard Tiago Tomas 90'+3'
Primeira Liga
Apr 2, 2017 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Mateus 9' goal
  • Vitor Costa de Brito 26' yellowcard
  • Filho Adilson 45' yellowcard
  • Anderson Luis 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 23'
  • goal Alan Ruiz 34'
  • goal Bruno Cesar 36'
  • yellowcard Daniel Castelo Podence 80'
  • yellowcard William Carvalho 88'
  • yellowcard Rui Patricio 94'
Primeira Liga
Nov 6, 2016 8.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bas Dost 9' goal
  • Gelson Martins 14' yellowcard
  • Adrien Silva 44' yellowcard
  • Joel Campbell 53' yellowcard
  • Joel Campbell 55' goal
  • Bas Dost 69' goal
  • yellowcard Filho Adilson 27'
  • yellowcard Vitor Costa 45'
  • redcard Vitor Costa 50'