Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Arouca

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Arouca

Goncalves (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Antony (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Maritimo
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.54%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawArouca
77.79% (0.908 0.91)14.2% (-0.382 -0.38)8.02% (-0.516 -0.52)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-1.032 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.91% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)35.09% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.91% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)57.09% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.7% (0.19099999999999 0.19)7.31% (-0.1799 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.58% (0.479 0.48)26.42% (-0.469 -0.47)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.64% (-1.216 -1.22)48.37% (1.226 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.5% (-0.9 -0.9)83.5% (0.91 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 77.77%
    Arouca 8.02%
    Draw 14.2%
Sporting LisbonDrawArouca
2-0 @ 12.09% (0.24 0.24)
3-0 @ 10.54% (0.3 0.3)
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.66% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.9% (0.263 0.26)
4-1 @ 5.01% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.61% (0.17 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.62% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.057 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.58% (0.088 0.09)
6-1 @ 1.14% (0.026 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 77.77%
1-1 @ 6.72% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.004 0)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 14.2%
0-1 @ 2.57% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.44% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 0.93% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 8.02%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca

Sporting Lisbon
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Arouca
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Dabbagh (58')
Opoku (38'), Quaresma (44'), Thiago (61'), Sylla (62'), Ruiz (88'), Simao (90+4')
Paulinho (45+7', 82')
Porro (88'), Tanlongo (90+2')
Oct 29, 2022 8.30pm
Arouca
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Basso (47')
Simao (3')
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Arouca
Slimani (46', 52')
Essugo (26'), Coates (36')

Esgaio (15'), Simao (40'), Galovic (65'), Ruiz (85')
Oct 2, 2021 8.30pm
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Dabbagh (51')
Nunes (45+1'), Silva (63'), Araujo (85')
Nunes (16'), Santos (54')
Sarabia (45'), Paulinho (63'), Porro (63'), Braganca (77'), Tomas (90+3')
Apr 2, 2017 6pm
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Mateus (9')
Costa de Brito (26'), Adilson (45'), Luis (80')
Ruiz (34'), Cesar (36')
Ruiz (23'), Castelo Podence (80'), Carvalho (88'), Patricio (94')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!