Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Apr 3, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
0 - 1
Arouca

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sylla (90+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-2 Famalicao
Sunday, March 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Arouca
53.34% ( -0.65)	24.97% ( 0.27)	21.69% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 48.2% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.37% (

-0.63)

53.63% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.87% (

-0.53)

75.13% (

0.53)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

-0.5)

20.08% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.67% (

-0.82)

52.33% (

0.82)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.32% (

0.03)

39.68% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.64% (

0.03)

76.36% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 53.33%

Arouca 21.69%

Draw 24.97%

Famalicao	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.33%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.37% Total : 21.69%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Arouca

Famalicao

62.5%

Draw

25.0%

Arouca

12.5%

Head to Head

Oct 10, 2022 8.15pm

Arouca

4-1

Famalicao

Bukia (30'), Sylla (52'), Antony (58'), Dabbagh (84')

Colombatto (21')
Luis Rodriguez (34')

Jan 31, 2022 9.15pm

Famalicao

0-0

Arouca

Alex (75'), Marin (90+6')

Basso (37'), Bukia (54'), Esgaio (59')

Aug 20, 2021 7pm

Arouca

2-1

Famalicao

Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')

Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')

Form Guide

Boavista 1-2 Famalicao

Famalicao 1-0 Casa Pia

Benfica 2-0 Famalicao

Famalicao 1-0 Portimonense

Santa Clara 1-3 Famalicao

Famalicao 0-1 Gil Vicente

Arouca 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira

Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca

Boavista 0-0 Arouca

Arouca 2-0 Casa Pia