Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 46.06% ( | 26.57% ( | 27.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.78% ( | 55.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% ( | 76.45% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( | 23.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( | 58.15% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( | 35.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( | 72.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 2-1 @ 9% ( 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.06% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.36% |