/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fleclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
Lecce vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F19%2Flecce.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result
Lecce
47.7%
▲
(+0.34)
Draw
26.23%
▼
(-0.06)
Spezia
26.07%
▼
(-0.29)
Both Teams to Score:
49.13%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
54.71%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
23.97%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
76.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
10.71%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
89.29%
▲
(+0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
77.05%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
22.94%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
43.28%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
56.72%
▼
(-0.23)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
63.76%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
36.24%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
26.98%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 1.5
73.02%
▲
(+0.26)
Score analysis
Lecce
47.7%
Draw
26.22%
Spezia
26.07%
Lecce
1-0
@
12.24%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.7%
2-1 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.7%
Draw
1-1
@
12.42%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.22%
0-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.22%
Spezia
0-1
@
8.44%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.07%
1-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.07%
Marcin Listkowski
43'