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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Spezia Calcio logo
Lecce
0 - 0
Spezia

Umtiti (49'), Blin (89')
FT

Wisniewski (59'), Esposito (86'), N'Zola (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Lecce
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-0 AC Milan
Saturday, May 13 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-0 Spezia

Lecce can celebrate their 600th Serie A fixture by securing a crucial win that could effectively keep them in the top flight. Spezia do not travel well - 11 losses from 17 away games attest to that - and they could be left hoping Verona do not capitalise on another slip-up at Via del Mare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSpezia
47.7% (0.34 0.34) 26.23% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 26.07% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)54.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (0.15299999999999 0.15)22.94% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (0.225 0.23)56.72% (-0.222 -0.22)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (-0.248 -0.25)36.24% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (-0.251 -0.25)73.02% (0.25399999999999 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 47.7%
    Spezia 26.07%
    Draw 26.22%
LecceDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 12.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.07%

How you voted: Lecce vs Spezia

Lecce
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Spezia
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Dec 16, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Spezia
0-2
Lecce

Strelec (6'), N'Zola (30'), Nguiamba (79')
Listkowski (43'), Calabresi (55')
Dermaku (17'), Barreca (35'), Rodriguez (49'), Blin (90+2')
May 11, 2019 2pm
gameweek 38
Lecce
2-1
Spezia
Petriccione (9'), La Mantia (27')
Lucioni (13')
Capradossi (83')
Ricci (52')
Dec 30, 2018 8pm
gameweek 19
Spezia
1-1
Lecce
Ricci (13' pen.)
Vignali (41'), Mora (48'), Capradossi (64')
Scavone (68')
Bovo (28'), Petriccione (55'), Palombi (72'), Venuti (74')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan1512213773038
2Juventus1511312391436
3AC Milan159242618829
4Roma1574428171125
5Bologna156721812625
6Napoli157352618824
7Fiorentina157352418624
8Atalanta BCAtalanta157262418623
9Monza155641614221
10Lazio156361616021
11Torino155551316-320
12FrosinoneFrosinone155462024-419
13Lecce143741619-316
14SassuoloSassuolo144372126-515
15Genoa154381520-515
16Udinese151951225-1312
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona152581322-911
18Empoli14329926-1711
19CagliariCagliari142481326-1310
20Salernitana151591130-198

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