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Serie A

Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Spezia Calcio logo

Lecce
0 - 0
Spezia

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Lecce
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 2-0 AC Milan
Saturday, May 13 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSpezia
47.7% (0.34 0.34)26.23% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)26.07% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)54.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (0.15299999999999 0.15)22.94% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (0.225 0.23)56.72% (-0.222 -0.22)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (-0.248 -0.25)36.24% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (-0.251 -0.25)73.02% (0.25399999999999 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 47.7%
    Spezia 26.07%
    Draw 26.22%
LecceDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 12.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.07%

How you voted: Lecce vs Spezia

Lecce
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Spezia
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
gameweek 17
Spezia
0-0
Lecce

Baschirotto (56')
Dec 16, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Spezia
0-2
Lecce

Strelec (6'), N'Zola (30'), Nguiamba (79')
Listkowski (43'), Calabresi (55')
Dermaku (17'), Barreca (35'), Rodriguez (49'), Blin (90+2')
> Preview
May 11, 2019 2pm
gameweek 38
Lecce
2-1
Spezia
Petriccione (9'), La Mantia (27')
Lucioni (13')
Capradossi (83')
Ricci (52')
Dec 30, 2018 8pm
gameweek 19
Spezia
1-1
Lecce
Ricci (13' pen.)
Vignali (41'), Mora (48'), Capradossi (64')
Scavone (68')
Bovo (28'), Petriccione (55'), Palombi (72'), Venuti (74')