Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 2
Lecce

Immobile (34'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Oudin (45+2', 51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lazio
Saturday, May 6 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Lecce
55.87% ( 0.42)	25.37% ( -0.2)	18.76% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 43.1% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.81% (

0.41)

58.19% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16% (

0.32)

78.84% (

-0.32)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.12% (

0.34)

20.88% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.42% (

0.53)

53.58% (

-0.53)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.48% (

-0.02)

45.52% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.65% (

-0.02)

81.35% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Lazio 55.87%

Lecce 18.76%

Draw 25.36%

Lazio	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 14.88% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.12% Total : 55.87%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 18.76%