Serie A Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini
  • Daniel Ciofani 41' goal
  • Johan Vasquez 77' goal

Cremonese vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 8.00pm
AC Milan 1 - 1 Cremonese
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Daniel Ciofani

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 5.00pm
Atalanta 3 - 2 Spezia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mbala N'Zola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result

Cremonese 42.77% (+0.54)
Draw 25.54% (-0.03)
Spezia 31.69% (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.69% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.89% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 49.11% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 28.82% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 71.18% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 13.86% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 86.14% (+0.04)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5 77.14% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 22.86% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 43.41% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 56.59% (-0.35)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 70.9% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 29.1% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 34.98% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 65.02% (+0.45)

Score analysis

Cremonese 42.77%
Draw 25.53%
Spezia 31.69%
Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.82% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.94% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.24% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.4% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.56% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (-98.20)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.53%
Spezia
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 31.69%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Mbala N'Zola 19' goal
  • Emil Holm 22' goal
  • goal Cyriel Dessers 2'
  • goal Charles Pickel 52'
Serie B Gameweek 36
Jul 24, 2020 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Emanuele Terranova 68' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 77' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Crescenzi 80' yellowcard
Serie B Gameweek 17
Feb 11, 2020 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Matteo Ricci 30' yellowcard
  • Elio Capradossi 39' yellowcard
  • Giulio Maggiore 56' goal
  • Antonio Di Gaudio 72' goal
  • Mbala N'Zola 84' goal
  • goal Claiton 27'
  • yellowcard Francesco Deli 41'
  • yellowcard Antonio Piccolo 55'
  • yellowcard Samuel Gustafson 73'
  • goal Vittorio Parigini 87'
  • yellowcard Luca Ravanelli 90'
Serie B Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2019 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)
  • Paolo Bartolomei 21' goal
  • Paolo Bartolomei 53' goal
  • Luca Vignali 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mariano Arini 40'
  • yellowcard Luca Strizzolo 66'
Serie B Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2018 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)
  • Emanuele Terranova 16' goal
  • Andrea Brighenti 21' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Ricci 28'
  • yellowcard Claudio Terzi 72'
Serie B
Apr 28, 2018 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)
  • Claudio Terzi 31' yellowcard
  • Alberto Masi 70' yellowcard
  • Giulio Maggiore 87' goal
  • Walter Lopez 90' yellowcard
  • Walter Lopez 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Davide Cinaglia 26'
  • yellowcard Simone Pesce 47'
  • yellowcard Michele Canini 67'
  • yellowcard Gaetano Castrovilli 90'