Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 29.55% ( | 27.63% ( | 42.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% ( | 58.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% ( | 78.77% ( |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.73% ( | 35.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.98% ( | 72.02% ( |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( | 26.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( | 62.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 2-1 @ 6.76% ( 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-1 @ 2.35% ( 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 3-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.55% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 2-2 @ 4.45% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.81% |