Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
1 - 3
Napoli

Harroui (7' pen.)
Oyono (12'), Mazzitelli (45+5'), Gelli (83')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Politano (24'), Osimhen (42', 79')
Lobotka (13'), Cajuste (27'), Olivera (39'), Garcia (87+87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 1-0 Pisa
Friday, August 11 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Napoli
23.4% ( 0)	25.26%	51.34% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.4% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.91% (

53.09% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.33% (

74.67% (

-0.01)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.28% (

37.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.5% (

0.01)

74.49% (

-0.01)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31%

20.69% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.71%

53.28% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 23.4%

Napoli 51.34%

Draw 25.25%

Frosinone	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.64% Total : 23.4%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 12.29% 0-2 @ 9.69% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 5.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-4 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.34%