Serie A Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Victor Osimhen 64' goal
  • Giovanni Simeone 85' goal

Napoli vs Sampdoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 2.00pm
Bologna 2 - 2 Napoli
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Victor Osimhen

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last game
May 26, 2023 7.45pm
Sampdoria 2 - 2 Sassuolo
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Manolo Gabbiadini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 90%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 2.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 4-0 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result

Napoli 90% (+0.81)
Draw 7.41% (-0.54)
Sampdoria 2.59% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.95% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.86% (+1.23)
Under 2.5 27.14% (-1.23)
Over 3.5 52.33% (+1.54)
Under 3.5 47.66% (-1.54)
Over 4.5 32.91% (+1.44)
Under 4.5 67.08% (-1.44)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 96.37% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 3.62% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 84.35% (+1.05)
Under 1.5 15.65% (-1.05)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5 37.3% (-0.63)
Under 0.5 62.7% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 8.03% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 91.97% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Napoli 89.98%
Draw 7.41%
Sampdoria 2.59%
Napoli
3-0 @ 13.82% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 12.5% (-0.29)
4-0 @ 11.46% (+0.33)
5-0 @ 7.61% (+0.41)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.38)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 5.84% (-0.27)
4-1 @ 5.36% (+0.05)
6-0 @ 4.21% (+0.33)
5-1 @ 3.55% (+0.12)
7-0 @ 2% (+0.21)
6-1 @ 1.97% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 89.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.52% (-0.26)
0-0 @ 2.27% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 1.36% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 7.41%
Sampdoria
0-1 @ 1.06% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 2.59%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • goal Victor Osimhen 19'
  • goal Eljif Elmas 82'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 9, 2022 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andrea Petagna 43' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Chabot 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nicola Murru 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2021 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Mikkel Damsgaard 28' yellowcard
  • Fabio Depaoli 77' yellowcard
  • goal Victor Osimhen 10'
  • goal Fabian 39'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 50'
  • goal Piotr Zielinski 59'
  • yellowcard Kostas Manolas 87'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • yellowcard Kostas Manolas 24'
  • goal Fabian 35'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 46'
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 78'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 87'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Dec 13, 2020 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hirving Lozano 53' goal
  • Andrea Petagna 68' goal
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 84' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mario Rui 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jakub Jankto 20'
  • yellowcard Morten Thorsby 38'
  • yellowcard Albin Ekdal 52'
  • yellowcard Omar Colley 82'
  • yellowcard Gaston Ramirez 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Feb 3, 2020 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Luigi Ferraris
  • Fabio Quagliarella 26' goal
  • Jakub Jankto 43' yellowcard
  • Albin Ekdal 47' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 58' yellowcard
  • Manolo Gabbiadini 73' goal
  • Karol Linetty 87' yellowcard
  • goal Arkadiusz Milik 3'
  • goal Eljif Elmas 16'
  • yellowcard Eljif Elmas 43'
  • goal Diego Demme 83'
  • goal Dries Mertens 90'
  • yellowcard Diego Demme 90'
  • yellowcard Matteo Politano 90'