Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 0
Sampdoria

Osimhen (64' pen.), Simeone (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Sampdoria 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 90%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 2.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 4-0 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Sampdoria
90% ( 0.8)	7.41% ( -0.54)	2.59% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 35.95% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.86% (

1.23)

27.14% (

-1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.33% (

1.54)

47.66% (

-1.54)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.37% (

0.32)

3.62% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.35% (

1.04)

15.65% (

-1.04)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.3% (

-0.63)

62.7% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.03% (

-0.3)

91.97% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Napoli 89.98%

Sampdoria 2.59%

Draw 7.41%

Napoli	Draw	Sampdoria
3-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.32) 5-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.32) 5-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.12) 7-0 @ 2% ( 0.2) 6-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.99% Total : 89.98%	1-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 7.41%	0-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.53% Total : 2.59%