Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 28, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 2
Napoli

Ferguson (63'), De Silvestri (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Osimhen (14', 54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Cremonese 1-5 Bologna
Saturday, May 20 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Napoli
20.27% ( 0.15)	26.04% ( 0.06)	53.69% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 43.5% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.14% (

-0.05)

58.85% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.64% (

-0.04)

79.36% (

0.04)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.81% (

0.13)

44.19% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.72% (

0.11)

80.28% (

-0.1)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

-0.11)

22.05% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.61% (

-0.16)

55.39% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Bologna 20.27%

Napoli 53.68%

Draw 26.04%

Bologna	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.27%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 14.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.13% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 53.68%