Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati
Frosinone logo

Ternana
2 - 3
Frosinone

Favilli (30'), Partipilo (34')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Garritano (6'), Lucioni (75'), Lhassine Kone (77')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Frosinone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Como 3-1 Ternana
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Frosinone

All competitions
Last Game: Frosinone 3-2 Genoa
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 44.73%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 27.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Ternana win it was 1-0 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
TernanaDrawFrosinone
27.29% (-1.249 -1.25)27.98% (0.7 0.7)44.73% (0.551 0.55)
Both teams to score 45.14% (-2.672 -2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.72% (-3.026 -3.03)60.28% (3.03 3.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.55% (-2.352 -2.35)80.45% (2.355 2.36)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.73% (-2.672 -2.67)38.27% (2.675 2.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.98% (-2.661 -2.66)75.02% (2.665 2.66)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-1.112 -1.11)26.87% (1.115 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-1.484 -1.48)62.18% (1.487 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 27.29%
    Frosinone 44.73%
    Draw 27.98%
TernanaDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.407 0.41)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-0 @ 4.75% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 27.29%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 10.28% (1.112 1.11)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.404 -0.4)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 13.51% (1.08 1.08)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.445 0.45)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 44.73%

How you voted: Ternana vs Frosinone

Ternana
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Frosinone
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 5pm
gameweek 19
Frosinone
3-0
Ternana
Mulattieri (38'), Insigne (54'), Garritano (72')

Proietti (12')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
gameweek 35
Ternana
4-4
Frosinone
Proietti (21'), Minelli (27' og.), Palumbo (47'), Pettinari (77')
Bogdan (72'), Koutsoupias (90')
Rohden (10'), Bogdan (37' og.), Gatti (64'), Novakovich (90+6' pen.)
Ciano (31'), Rohden (44'), Boloca (67'), Garritano (90')
Dec 4, 2021 1pm
gameweek 16
Frosinone
1-1
Ternana
Charpentier (17')
Gatti (25'), Cotali (44'), Cicerelli (87')
Gatti (26')
Pettinari (51')
Paghera (9'), Pettinari (55'), Diakite (70')
Mar 25, 2018 2pm
Ternana
0-0
Frosinone

Vitiello (63'), Montalto (86')

Ariaudo (69')
Oct 24, 2017 7.30pm
Frosinone
4-2
Ternana
Soddimo (18'), Ciofani (48'), Citro (82'), Ciano (90')
Terranova (16'), Citro (84')
Gasparetto (10'), Angiulli (74')
Carretta (88')