Serie B | Gameweek 37
May 13, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
3 - 1
Ternana

Vignali (62'), Da Cunha (70'), Chajia (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Favilli (32' pen.)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Reggina 2-1 Como
Saturday, May 6 at 1pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Sudtirol
Saturday, May 6 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawTernana
45.9% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)25.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)28.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49%48.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.64% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.02%
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)30.67% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Como 45.89%
    Ternana 28.98%
    Draw 25.12%
ComoDrawTernana
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.89%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.67%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.98%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2022 1pm
gameweek 18
Ternana
0-3
Como

Favilli (25')
Cutrone (15'), Ambrosino (77'), Mancuso (90+3')
Mar 15, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 30
Como
1-1
Ternana
La Gumina (37')
Bertoncini (30'), La Gumina (71'), Parigini (82')
Salzano (68' pen.)
Sorensen (17'), Koutsoupias (33'), Agazzi (56'), Diakite (73'), Salzano (79')
Nov 1, 2021 2pm
gameweek 11
Ternana
1-2
Como
Falletti (76')
Falletti (14'), Defendi (55'), Proietti (84')
Vignali (16'), La Gumina (52')
Chajia (30')