Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Sep 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
3 - 0
Monza

Ederson (35'), Scamacca (42', 62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pessina (44'), Mari (59'), Izzo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Atalanta
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Monza
67.15% ( -0.03)	18.87% ( 0.01)	13.98% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.71% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.97% (

-0.01)

40.03% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.61% (

-0.01)

62.39% (

0.01)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.99% (

-0.01)

11% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.71% (

-0.02)

35.29% (

0.02)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.23% (

0.02)

40.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.65% (

0.02)

77.35% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 67.15%

Monza 13.98%

Draw 18.87%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Monza
2-0 @ 10.92% 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 4.13% Total : 67.15%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.87%	0-1 @ 4.03% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.98%