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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Empoli logo

Monza
2 - 0
Empoli

Colpani (45', 53')
Izzo (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baldanzi (1'), Haas (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Monza
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawEmpoli
54.66% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)23.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.48% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)17.96% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)48.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5% (0.027999999999999 0.03)37.5% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)74.28% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Monza 54.66%
    Empoli 21.48%
    Draw 23.84%
MonzaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 11.56%
2-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 54.66%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.84%
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 21.48%

How you voted: Monza vs Empoli

Monza
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Empoli
20.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 25
Monza
2-1
Empoli
Ciurria (19'), Izzo (67')
Satriano (51')
Oct 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
1-0
Monza
Haas (11')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Monza
1-1
Empoli
Boateng (69' pen.)
Mota (79'), (90+3')
Mancuso (2')
Casale (20'), Haas (23'), Ricci (90')
Furlan (51')
Oct 3, 2020 3.15pm
Gameweek 2
Empoli
0-0
Monza
Stulac (84')
Barberis (49')
rhs 2.0


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