Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Empoli |
| 54.66% ( | 23.85% ( | 21.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( | 49.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( | 71.45% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( | 17.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( | 48.8% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% ( | 37.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.72% ( | 74.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.48% |