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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 4.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 2
Cittadella

Caputo (8')
Grassi (57'), Pezzella (69'), Gyasi (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Amatucci (61'), Magrassi (80')
Carriero (34'), Giraudo (45'), Kornvig (90+9')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Empoli and Cittadella.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Lazio
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Serie A

Cittadella

All competitions
Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 Como
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawCittadella
32.29% (-0.29 -0.29)25.47% (0.155 0.16)42.24% (0.135 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.17% (-0.626 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.4% (-0.767 -0.77)48.6% (0.768 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (-0.702 -0.7)70.72% (0.703 0.7)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (-0.563 -0.56)28.45% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79% (-0.71400000000001 -0.71)64.21% (0.716 0.72)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (-0.267 -0.27)22.89% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (-0.394 -0.39)56.64% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 32.29%
    Cittadella 42.24%
    Draw 25.47%
EmpoliDrawCittadella
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.226 0.23)
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.24%

How you voted: Empoli vs Cittadella

Empoli
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Cittadella
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 27
Empoli
1-1
Cittadella
Bajrami (23')
Olivieri (2')
Proia (63')
Gargiulo (45+2'), Ghiringhelli (81')
Nov 21, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 8
Cittadella
2-2
Empoli
Benedetti (30'), Gargiulo (90+1')
Benedetti (64')
Mancuso (68' pen.), Olivieri (72')
Haas (40')
Romagnoli (90+4')
Feb 8, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Cittadella
1-2
Empoli
Adorni (38')
Gargiulo (18'), Adorni (92')
Mancuso (6'), Bajrami (74')
Henderson (16')
Sep 21, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Empoli
1-0
Cittadella
La Gumina (4' pen.)
Brignoli (86')

Adorni (30'), Benedetti (41'), Branca (71'), Iori (79')
Aug 12, 2018 7.30pm
Third Round
Empoli
0-3
Cittadella
Scappini (16', 54'), Finotto (65')
Proia (67')