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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Lazio logo
Empoli
0 - 2
Lazio

Akpa-Akpro (14'), Cambiaghi (37')
Cambiaghi (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Romagnoli (48'), Alberto (90+2')
Milinkovic-Savic (40'), Vecino (62')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 28 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-2 Cremonese
Sunday, May 28 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-2 Lazio

Lazio have only lost four times on the road this term, so there is every chance of the Aquile soaring to victory in Empoli - which is no mean feat, given the hosts' recent results there: Sarri's side can score from several sources and also boast the second-best defensive record in Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawLazio
28.04% (2.019 2.02) 26.71% (1.081 1.08) 45.25% (-3.101 -3.1)
Both teams to score 49.15% (-1.704 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-2.943 -2.94)55.39% (2.945 2.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (-2.472 -2.47)76.59% (2.472 2.47)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (0.058999999999997 0.06)34.99% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (0.063999999999997 0.06)71.73% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-2.692 -2.69)24.4% (2.693 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18% (-3.952 -3.95)58.81% (3.953 3.95)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 28.04%
    Lazio 45.24%
    Draw 26.71%
EmpoliDrawLazio
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.988 0.99)
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.253 0.25)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.526 0.53)
3-1 @ 2.33% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.187 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 28.04%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.46 0.46)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.929 0.93)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.195 -0.19)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 12.04% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.386 -0.39)
0-2 @ 8.49% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.545 -0.55)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.526 -0.53)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.331 -0.33)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.317 -0.32)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.24%

How you voted: Empoli vs Lazio

Empoli
15.6%
Draw
19.5%
Lazio
64.9%
77
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
gameweek 17
Lazio
2-2
Empoli
Anderson (2'), Zaccagni (54')
Caputo (83'), Marin (90+3')
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 20
Lazio
3-3
Empoli
Immobile (14'), Milinkovic-Savic (66', 90+3')
Felipe (18'), Pedro (52'), Marusic (62'), Alberto (71')
Bajrami (6' pen.), Zurkowski (8'), Di Francesco (75')
Parisi (10'), Marchizza (33'), Luperto (86'), Bandinelli (90+5')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Empoli
1-3
Lazio
Bandinelli (4')
Stojanovic (38'), Ismajli (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Lazzari (31'), Immobile (41' pen.)
Leiva (29')
Feb 7, 2019 7.30pm
gameweek 23
Lazio
1-0
Empoli
Caicedo (42' pen.)
Neto (90')

Acquah (90')
Sep 16, 2018 5pm
gameweek 4
Empoli
0-1
Lazio

Silvestre (7'), Bennacer (34')
Parolo (47')
Parolo (42'), Durmisi (80'), Marusic (87')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan1512213773038
2Juventus1511312391436
3AC Milan159242618829
4Roma1473427161124
5Napoli157352618824
6Atalanta BCAtalanta157262418623
7Fiorentina147252317623
8Bologna145721611522
9Lazio156361616021
10Torino145451316-319
11Monza144641514118
12FrosinoneFrosinone145362024-418
13Lecce143741619-316
14Genoa144371519-415
15SassuoloSassuolo144372126-515
16Udinese151951225-1312
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona152581322-911
18Empoli14329926-1711
19CagliariCagliari142481326-1310
20Salernitana141581028-188

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