/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fcrelog.png)
-
Elseid Hysaj
4'
-
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
37'
-
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic
89'
-
Pablo Galdames
54'
-
Manuel Lazzari
58'
(OG)
Lazio vs Cremonese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F18%2Fmaurizio-sarri.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.42%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Lazio
70.02%
▲
(+0.48)
Draw
19.09%
▲
(+0.03)
Cremonese
10.89%
▼
(-0.50)
Both Teams to Score:
42.55%
▼
(-1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.44%
▼
(-1.36)
Under 2.5
48.56%
▲
(+1.37)
Over 3.5
29.32%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 3.5
70.68%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 4.5
14.2%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 4.5
85.8%
▲
(+0.87)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
87.31%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
12.68%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
61.12%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 1.5
38.88%
▲
(+0.56)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5
48.74%
▼
(-1.77)
Under 0.5
51.26%
▲
(+1.77)
Over 1.5
14.48%
▼
(-1.22)
Under 1.5
85.52%
▲
(+1.22)
Score analysis
Lazio
70.01%
Draw
19.09%
Cremonese
10.89%
Lazio
2-0
@
13.86%
▲
(+0.50)
1-0 @ 13.42% ▲ (+0.60)
3-0 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.17)
5-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 70.01%
1-0 @ 13.42% ▲ (+0.60)
3-0 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.17)
5-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 70.01%
Draw
1-1
@
8.97%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.36)
2-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 19.09%
0-0 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.36)
2-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 19.09%
Cremonese
0-1
@
4.35%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 10.89%
1-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 10.89%
