Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Reggiana
63.37% ( 0.79)	20.38% ( -0.41)	16.25% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 53.15% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.74% (

1.13)

42.25% (

-1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.34% (

1.12)

64.66% (

-1.12)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.31% (

0.58)

12.69% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.11% (

1.18)

38.89% (

-1.18)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.88% (

0.21)

39.12% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.16% (

0.19)

75.83% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Monza 63.36%

Reggiana 16.25%

Draw 20.38%

Monza	Draw	Reggiana
2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.36% Total : 63.36%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.38%	0-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.25%