Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Sep 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Campo La Quinta

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
Dortmund

Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
26.53% ( 0)	19.88% ( 0)	53.59% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 71.72% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.61% (

-0)

25.39% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.58% (

-0.01)

45.42% (

0.01)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

20.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.36% (

52.64% (

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.97% (

-0)

10.03% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.91% (

-0.01)

33.09% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 26.53%

Borussia Dortmund 53.59%

Draw 19.88%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.64% 1-0 @ 3.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.17% 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.73% Total : 26.53%	1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.85% 3-3 @ 2.79% 0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.88%	1-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.38% 2-3 @ 5.25% 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.12% 1-4 @ 3.78% ( -0) 2-4 @ 3.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.37% 1-5 @ 1.74% 3-4 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 53.59%