Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Reus (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cerny (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: PSG 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.72%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.39% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Wolfsburg
60.72%	18.89%	20.39%

Both teams to score 67.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.14%

27.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.43%

48.57%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.89%

9.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.07%

30.92%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93%

26.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89%

61.11%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 60.72%

Wolfsburg 20.39%

Draw 18.89%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 6.81% 1-0 @ 5.69% 3-0 @ 5.44% 3-2 @ 4.92% 4-1 @ 4.38% 4-0 @ 3.26% 4-2 @ 2.95% 5-1 @ 2.1% 5-0 @ 1.56% 5-2 @ 1.41% 4-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 4.38% Total : 60.72%	1-1 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 2.37% 3-3 @ 2.21% Other @ 0.51% Total : 18.89%	1-2 @ 5.14% 0-1 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-2 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 0.96% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.96% Total : 20.39%