Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Marco Reus 68' goal
  • yellowcard Vaclav Cerny 24'

Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 4 Dortmund
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Wolfsburg 2 - 1 Union Berlin
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jonas Wind

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.72%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.39% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 60.72% (+0.01)
Draw 18.89% (-0.01)
Wolfsburg 20.39% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.2% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.14% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 27.86% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 51.43% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 48.57% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 32.07% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 67.93% (-0.02)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 90.89% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 9.1% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 69.07% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.92% (-0.02)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 73.93% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.07% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.89% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.11% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 60.72%
Draw 18.89%
Wolfsburg 20.39%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.44%
3-2 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.38% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.95% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 60.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.65% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 18.89%
Wolfsburg
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-2 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 20.39%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 31
May 7, 2023 4.30pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Karim Adeyemi 14' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 28' goal
  • Donyell Malen 37' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 54' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 59' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 86' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mickey van de Ven 6' goal
  • Lukas Nmecha 90'+2' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
6
1
HT : 5 0
FT
  • Tom Rothe 24' goal
  • Axel Witsel 26' goal
  • Manuel Akanji 28' goal
  • Emre Can 35' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 38' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 54' goal
  • yellowcard Bote Baku 33'
  • yellowcard Yannick Gerhardt 41'
  • goal Bote Baku 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Wout Weghorst 2' goal
  • Dodi Lukebakio 25' yellowcard
  • Maxence Lacroix 32' yellowcard
  • Lukas Nmecha 37' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Arnold 42' yellowcard
  • goal Emre Can 35'
  • goal Donyell Malen 55'
  • yellowcard Marius Wolf 60'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Paulo Otavio 72' yellowcard
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 12'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 13'
  • redcard Jude Bellingham 59'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 68'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Jan 3, 2021 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mats Hummels 25' yellowcard
  • Thomas Delaney 40' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 66' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 80' yellowcard
  • Jadon Sancho 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Renato Steffen 38'