Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Sep 30, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio

Pulisic (60'), Okafor (88')
Leao (65'), Hernandez (83'), Maignan (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marusic (51'), Romagnoli (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 AC Milan
Wednesday, September 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Torino
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
56.11% ( 0.06)	23.74% ( -0.03)	20.15% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.69% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45% (

0.06)

50.54% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53% (

0.05)

72.46% (

-0.06)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15% (

0.05)

17.84% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.4% (

0.08)

48.59% (

-0.08)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.48% (

-0)

39.51% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.79% (

-0)

76.2% (

Score Analysis

AC Milan 56.11%

Lazio 20.15%

Draw 23.73%

AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 56.11%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.73%	0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.15%