Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
| 47.64% ( | 26.93% ( | 25.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.32% ( | 57.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.57% ( | 78.43% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( | 24.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% ( | 58.62% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( | 38.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% ( | 75.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% ( 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 25.43% |