Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 1
Lazio

Almqvist (85'), Di Francesco (87')
Espeto (68'), Gonzalez (80'), Pongracic (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Immobile (26')
Isaksen (71'), Pellegrini (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Como
Sunday, August 13 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Lazio
Thursday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Lazio
39.47% ( -0.57)	28.08% ( 0.13)	32.44% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 47.11% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.1% (

-0.36)

58.9% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.61% (

-0.28)

79.39% (

0.29)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

-0.5)

29.09% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99% (

-0.63)

65.01% (

0.63)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

0.13)

33.56% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8% (

0.14)

70.2% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Lecce 39.47%

Lazio 32.44%

Draw 28.08%

Lecce	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.63% Total : 39.47%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.44%