Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Como had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Como
47.5% ( -0.17)	25.01% ( 0.07)	27.49% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.07% (

-0.23)

48.93% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.98% (

-0.21)

71.02% (

0.22)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.37% (

-0.17)

20.63% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.8% (

-0.27)

53.2% (

0.27)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68% (

-0.04)

32% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.53% (

-0.05)

68.47% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Lecce 47.5%

Como 27.49%

Draw 25.01%

Lecce	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 47.5%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 27.49%