Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
| 61.18% ( | 21.61% ( | 17.22% |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% | 45.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% | 68.28% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% | 14.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.44% ( | 42.56% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.83% ( | 40.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.19% | 76.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 3-1 @ 6.37% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.58% Total : 61.16% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.6% | 0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.43% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.22% |