Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.