/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog.png)
-
Maurizio Sarri
36'
-
Patric
83'
-
Ciro Immobile
84'
-
Ivan Provedel
90'+5'
-
Diego Simeone
21'
-
Antoine Griezmann
26'
-
Pablo Barrios
29'
-
Samuel Lino
67'
-
Angel Correa
90'+4'
Lazio vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F30%2Fdiego-simeone.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result
Lazio
42.64%
▼
(-0.21)
Draw
27.62%
▲
(+0.05)
Atletico Madrid
29.74%
▲
(+0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
47.49%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.03%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
57.97%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
21.33%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
78.66%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
9.11%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
90.88%
▲
(+0.05)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
73.11%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
26.89%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
37.79%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
62.21%
▲
(+0.21)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
64.95%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
35.05%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
28.21%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
71.79%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Lazio
42.63%
Draw
27.61%
Atletico Madrid
29.74%
Lazio
1-0
@
12.37%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 42.63%
2-1 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 42.63%
Draw
1-1
@
12.97%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.61%
0-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.61%
Atletico Madrid
0-1
@
9.88%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 29.74%
1-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 29.74%