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La Liga

Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Granada logo

Atletico
3 - 1
Granada

Morata (45+4'), Depay (67'), Llorente (90+8')
Hermoso (39'), Morata (42'), Azpilicueta (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Omorodion Aghehowa (62')
Gumbau (10'), Lopez (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, August 6 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1

Granada

All competitions
Last Game: Granada 2-0 Leganes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawGranada
52.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)25.58% (0.065999999999999 0.07)21.97% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.84% (-0.259 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.39% (-0.302 -0.3)55.61% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (-0.248 -0.25)76.77% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)21.24% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.85% (-0.194 -0.19)54.15% (0.191 0.19)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (-0.238 -0.24)40.53% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-0.212 -0.21)77.13% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 52.44%
    Granada 21.97%
    Draw 25.58%
Atletico MadridDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.04 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.97%

How you voted: Atletico vs Granada

Atletico Madrid
84.0%
Draw
12.0%
Granada
4.0%
75
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Atletico
0-0
Granada
Mandava (29'), Savic (45+4'), De Paul (78'), Vrsaljko (85')
Quini (3'), Escudero (58'), Diaz (74'), Puertas (83'), Duarte (90+2')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Granada
2-1
Atletico
Machis (17'), Molina (61')
Maximiano (66'), Ruiz (69'), Monchu (86'), Torrente (90+5')
Felix (2')
De Paul (7')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 23
Granada
1-2
Atletico
Herrera (66')
Llorente (63'), Correa (75')
Suarez (39'), Niguez (43'), Savic (77'), Koke (88'), Carrasco (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 27, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Atletico
6-1
Granada
Costa (9'), Correa (47'), Felix (65'), Llorente (72'), Suarez (85', 90+3')
Felix (27'), Niguez (59'), Partey (74')
Molina (87')
Duarte (15')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 23
Atletico
1-0
Granada
Correa (6')
Koke (28'), Partey (68'), Vrsaljko (69'), Vitolo (86')

Herrera (26'), Soldado (27'), Foulquier (36'), Duarte (84'), Diaz (88'), Koybasi (90')