Segunda Division | Gameweek 40

May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Granada
2 - 0
Lugo

Puertas (17'), Zaragoza (21')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Granada and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Granada
Friday, May 5 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lugo

All competitions

Last Game: Lugo 2-2 FC Andorra
Sunday, May 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 9.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.73%) and 3-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Granada in this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Lugo
72.03% ( 0.27)	18.64% ( -0.11)	9.32% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 38.41% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.04% (

0.01)

50.96% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.17% (

0.01)

72.83% (

-0.01)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.18% (

0.08)

12.82% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.85% (

0.17)

39.15% (

-0.17)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.05% (

-0.34)

55.94% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.56% (

-0.2)

88.44% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Granada 72.03%

Lugo 9.32%

Draw 18.64%

Granada	Draw	Lugo
2-0 @ 15.13% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 14.73% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 72.03%	1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.64%	0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.47% Total : 9.32%