Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.38%) and 1-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (13.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.