Segunda Division Gameweek 31
Mar 11, 2023 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves vs Lugo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 6, 2023 8.00pm
Villarreal II 1 - 0 Alaves
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Luis Rioja

Lugo

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 5, 2023 5.30pm
Lugo 0 - 0 Zaragoza
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Chris Ramos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 9.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Alaves 70.6% (+0.02)
Draw 19.56% (+0.09)
Lugo 9.84% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.72% (-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.89% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 53.11% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 25.31% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 74.68% (+0.49)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 86.1% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 13.9% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 58.68% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 41.32% (+0.34)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5 43.81% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 56.19% (+0.57)
Over 1.5 11.42% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 88.58% (+0.33)

Score analysis

Alaves 70.59%
Draw 19.56%
Lugo 9.84%
Alaves
1-0 @ 15.41% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 15.2% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 10% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 4.94% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 70.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.81% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.56%
Lugo
0-1 @ 4.5% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.56% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 9.84%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Anxo Carro
  • Chris Ramos 16' goal
  • goal Taichi Hara 65'
  • goal Nahuel Tenaglia 68'