Segunda Division | Gameweek 31

Mar 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
0 - 0
Lugo

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alaves and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal II 1-0 Alaves
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lugo

All competitions

Last Game: Lugo 0-0 Zaragoza
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 9.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Lugo
70.6% ( 0.02)	19.56% ( 0.08)	9.84% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 37.72% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89% (

-0.57)

53.11% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.31% (

-0.49)

74.68% (

0.48)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.1% (

-0.17)

13.9% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.68% (

-0.34)

41.32% (

0.34)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.81% (

-0.57)

56.19% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.42% (

-0.33)

88.58% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Alaves 70.59%

Lugo 9.84%

Draw 19.56%

Alaves	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 15.41% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 15.2% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 10% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 70.59%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.56%	0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.48% Total : 9.84%