Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alaves and Lugo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-0 Alaves
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 0-0 Zaragoza
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Lugo |
70.6% ( 0.02) | 19.56% ( 0.08) | 9.84% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 37.72% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
