Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 42.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Real Zaragoza	Draw	Alaves
42.94% ( -0.02)	29.66% ( 0.02)	27.39% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 40.98% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.49% (

-0.07)

65.51% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.75% (

-0.04)

84.24% (

0.05)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

-0.04)

30.38% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42% (

-0.05)

66.57% (

0.05)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.86% (

-0.04)

41.13% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.32% (

-0.04)

77.67% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Real Zaragoza 42.94%

Alaves 27.39%

Draw 29.65%

Real Zaragoza	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 14.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 42.94%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.65%	0-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 27.39%