Alaves logo
Segunda Division | Gameweek 24
Jan 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
3 - 0
Racing

Rioja (13'), Sevilla (66' pen.), Sylla (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alaves and Racing de Santander.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, January 17 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Racing de Santander

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.6%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 2-1 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.75%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawRacing de Santander
39.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)30.8% (0.0040000000000013 0)29.6% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 39.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.9% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)68.1% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)86% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.71% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)70.37% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Racing de Santander Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.21% (0.0019999999999953 0)40.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 39.6%
    Racing de Santander 29.6%
    Draw 30.8%
AlavesDrawRacing de Santander
1-0 @ 14.95%
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 39.6%
0-0 @ 13.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 13.4%
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.8%
0-1 @ 12.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.01%
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 29.6%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 5.30pm
Racing
1-1
Alaves
Molina (23')
De la Fuente (40')
Benavidez (19')
rhs 2.0


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