Merida
0 - 1
Alaves

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sevilla (25')

Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Merida AD and Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Merida AD

Last Game: Merida 2-2 La Nucia (3-2 pen.)
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Alaves
Sunday, December 18 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Merida AD had a probability of 15.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.75%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Merida AD win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
Merida AD	Draw	Alaves
15.3%	23.04%	61.65%

Both teams to score 43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.21%

54.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.9%

76.09%

Merida AD Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.05%

47.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.81%

83.19%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6%

17.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.18%

47.81%

Score Analysis

Merida AD 15.3%

Alaves 61.64%

Draw 23.04%

Merida AD	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 6.13% 2-1 @ 3.94% 2-0 @ 2.25% 3-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.3%	1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 3.45% Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.04%	0-1 @ 14.58% 0-2 @ 12.75% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-3 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-4 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-5 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.24% Total : 61.64%