Segunda Division | Gameweek 21
Dec 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Alaves logo

Malaga
1 - 0
Alaves

Chavarria (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: UD Ibiza 1-1 Malaga
Sunday, December 11 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Alaves 0-2 Levante
Monday, December 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 42.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
MalagaDrawAlaves
42.79% (-0.193 -0.19)29.32% (0.131 0.13)27.9% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 42.09% (-0.288 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.72% (-0.375 -0.38)64.29% (0.378 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.61% (-0.265 -0.27)83.39% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)29.85% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.358 -0.36)65.94% (0.36 0.36)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60% (-0.157 -0.16)40% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35% (-0.144 -0.14)76.65% (0.14800000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 42.78%
    Alaves 27.9%
    Draw 29.31%
MalagaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.43% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 13.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.94% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.31%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 27.9%

How you voted: Malaga vs Alaves

Malaga
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Alaves
50.0%
18
Head to Head
May 6, 2018 11am
Malaga
0-3
Alaves

Gonzalez (61'), Rosales (79')
Garcia (3'), Demirovic (68'), Gomez (70')
Dieguez (34')
Dec 21, 2017 8.30pm
Alaves
1-0
Malaga
El Haddadi (60')
Garcia (20'), Duarte (28'), Burgui (57')

Hernandez (28'), Ontiveros (28'), Miquel (56'), Recio (70')
Mar 11, 2017 5.30pm
Malaga
1-2
Alaves
Carlos (71')
Camacho (65'), Demichelis (76')
Feddal (39'), Mendez (91')
Fedda (56'), Deyverson (83')
Fedda (72')
Oct 16, 2016 11am
Alaves
1-1
Malaga
Deyverson (9')
Garcia (66'), Toquero Pinedo (76'), Camarasa (91')
Hernandez (90')
Rosales (85')
Rosales (58'), En-Nesyri (68'), Juanpi (70')
Juanpi (94')