Segunda Division | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
1 - 0
Ponferradina

Moran (58' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Ponferradina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-1 Malaga
Saturday, November 19 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Ponferradina

All competitions
Last Game: Ponferradina 1-1 Real Oviedo
Saturday, November 19 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
MalagaDrawPonferradina
48.7% (-0.344 -0.34)25.92% (0.035 0.04)25.38% (0.309 0.31)
Both teams to score 49.42% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (0.097000000000001 0.1)54.04% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (0.082000000000001 0.08)75.47% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (-0.11 -0.11)22.21% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (-0.167 -0.17)55.63% (0.169 0.17)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53% (0.322 0.32)36.46% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (0.325 0.32)73.25% (-0.324 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 48.69%
    Ponferradina 25.38%
    Draw 25.92%
MalagaDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 12.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 48.69%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.1% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 25.38%

How you voted: Malaga vs Ponferradina

Malaga
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Ponferradina
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 8pm
Malaga
0-0
Ponferradina

Caro (64')

Pujol (62'), Ojeda (77'), Rodriguez (89')
Sep 19, 2021 3pm
Ponferradina
4-0
Malaga
Naranjo (12', 44'), De Souza (53' pen.), Medina (83')
Copete (69')

de la Fuente (34'), Escassi (77'), Brandon (78'), Calero (86')
Abaida (78')
Jan 23, 2021 7.30pm
Malaga
0-2
Ponferradina

Lomban (39'), Mejias (47'), Munoz (50'), Romero (73'), Jozabed (82')
Sielva (16'), Panadero (88')
Amo (19')
Nov 15, 2020 3.15pm
Ponferradina
1-1
Malaga
Curro (74')
Sielva (18'), Amo (49'), Antonio Rios (68')
Rahmani (16')
Enriquez (38'), Matos (45'), Lomban (78')
Benkhemassa (90+1')
Jan 14, 2020 7pm
Malaga
1-0
Ponferradina
Antonin (2')
Santos (22'), Juanpi (64'), Munir (76'), Pacheco (82')

Larrea (18'), Trigueros (49'), Gil (84')