Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Andorra would win this match.