Segunda Division | Gameweek 6
Sep 19, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio El Toralin

Ponferradina
4 - 0
Malaga

Naranjo (12', 44'), de Souza (53' pen.), Medina (83')
Copete (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

de la Fuente (34'), Escassi (77'), Brandon (78'), Calero (86')
Abaida (78')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Malaga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.36%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 29.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
PonferradinaDrawMalaga
39.36%30.95%29.69%
Both teams to score 38.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.52%68.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.75%86.26%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93%34.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25%70.76%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.06%40.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5%77.51%
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 39.36%
    Malaga 29.69%
    Draw 30.95%
PonferradinaDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 15.02%
2-0 @ 8.09%
2-1 @ 7.22%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.36%
0-0 @ 13.95%
1-1 @ 13.41%
2-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 30.95%
0-1 @ 12.45%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 29.69%

rhs 2.0


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