Alaves vs Burgos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.43%. A draw had a probability of 31.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.08%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.