Segunda Division | Gameweek 18
Dec 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Toralín

Ponferradina
1 - 2
Burgos

Vallejo (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campos (31'), Mourad (69')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

All competitions
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Ponferradina
Saturday, November 26 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Burgos 2-2 Zaragoza
Sunday, November 27 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
PonferradinaDrawBurgos
38.79% (0.178 0.18)29.22% (-0.167 -0.17)31.98% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.85% (0.444 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.12% (0.54 0.54)62.88% (-0.536 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.62% (0.391 0.39)82.38% (-0.38799999999999 -0.39)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (0.384 0.38)31.47% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (0.444 0.44)67.86% (-0.438 -0.44)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (0.291 0.29)36.01% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (0.295 0.29)72.79% (-0.291 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 38.79%
    Burgos 31.98%
    Draw 29.22%
PonferradinaDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 13.1% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.74% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 38.79%
1-1 @ 13.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.33% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.22%
0-1 @ 11.57% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 31.98%

How you voted: Ponferradina vs Burgos

Ponferradina
54.5%
Draw
9.1%
Burgos
36.4%
11
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 8pm
Ponferradina
3-1
Burgos
Naranjo (19'), Antonio Rios (40'), Saverio (85')
Adot (90'), Moran (90+4')
Guillermo (70')
Matos (45')
Nov 14, 2021 5.15pm
Burgos
1-0
Ponferradina
Valcarce (16')
Valcarce (44')

Moran (43')
Rodriguez (90+5')