Segunda Division Gameweek 18
Dec 5, 2022 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio El Toralín
  • Hugo Vallejo 38' goal
  • goal Gaspar Campos 31'
  • goal Mourad 69'

Ponferradina vs Burgos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Nov 26, 2022 3.15pm
Malaga 1 - 0 Ponferradina
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Yuri de Souza

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Nov 27, 2022 1.00pm
Burgos 2 - 2 Zaragoza
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Curro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Ponferradina 38.79% (+0.18)
Draw 29.22% (-0.17)
Burgos 31.98% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.85% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.12% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 62.88% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 17.62% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 82.38% (-0.39)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5 68.52% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 31.47% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 32.14% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 67.86% (-0.44)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 63.99% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 36.01% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 27.21% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 72.79% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Ponferradina 38.79%
Draw 29.22%
Burgos 31.98%
Ponferradina
1-0 @ 13.1% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 7.74% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.57% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.92% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.52% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 38.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.38% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.33% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 3.95% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.22%
Burgos
0-1 @ 11.57% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 6.83% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.33% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 31.98%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 39
May 7, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jose Naranjo 19' goal
  • Jose Antonio Rios 40' goal
  • Kike Saverio 85' goal
  • Paris Adot 90' yellowcard
  • Erik Moran 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Matos 45'
  • goal Guillermo 70'
Segunda Division Gameweek 16
Nov 14, 2021 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pablo Valcarce 16' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erik Moran 43'
  • redcard Cristian Rodriguez 90'+5'