Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.