Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Villarreal II
48.77% ( 0.08)	25.94% ( -0.01)	25.28% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.29% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.83%

54.17% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.42% (

-0)

75.58%

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

0.03)

22.23% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

0.05)

55.66% (

-0.05)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.38% (

-0.06)

36.62% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.6% (

-0.06)

73.4% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 48.77%

Villarreal II 25.28%

Draw 25.93%

Ponferradina	Draw	Villarreal II
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 48.77%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 25.28%