Segunda Division Gameweek 22
Jan 6, 2023 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio El Toralín
  • Hugo Vallejo 57' goal
  • Jose Amo 81' goal
  • goal Sergio Lozano 45'+1'

Ponferradina vs Villarreal II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Dec 17, 2022 3.15pm
Mirandes 2 - 1 Ponferradina
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Yuri de Souza

Villarreal II

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Dec 17, 2022 5.30pm
Villarreal II 0 - 1 Las Palmas
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Diego Collado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result

Ponferradina 48.77% (+0.08)
Draw 25.94% (-0.02)
Villarreal II 25.28% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.29% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.83%
Under 2.5 54.17% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 24.42% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 75.58%

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5 77.77% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 22.23% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 44.34% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 55.66% (-0.06)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5 63.38% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.62% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 26.6% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 73.4% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Ponferradina 48.77%
Draw 25.93%
Villarreal II 25.28%
Ponferradina
1-0 @ 12.24% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.2% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 48.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.93%
Villarreal II
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 25.28%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 10
Oct 12, 2022 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ciudad Deportiva del Villarreal
  • Carlo Adriano 48' goal
  • M. Mbacke 70' goal
  • goal Edu Espiau 24'
  • goal Alexandru Pascanu 80'