Segunda Division | Gameweek 21
Dec 17, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Anduva

Mirandes
2 - 1
Ponferradina

Garcia (16', 20')
FT(HT: 2-0)
de Souza (48')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Mirandes and Ponferradina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-2 Mirandes
Sunday, December 11 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 2-4 Atletico
Wednesday, December 14 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.

Result
MirandesDrawPonferradina
52.18% (1.065 1.07)24.43% (-0.129 -0.13)23.38% (-0.933 -0.93)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.62 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (-0.319 -0.32)49.82% (0.322 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (-0.285 -0.29)71.82% (0.289 0.29)
Mirandes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (0.303 0.3)19.06% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.34% (0.493 0.49)50.66% (-0.489 -0.49)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-1.008 -1.01)35.92% (1.012 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-1.049 -1.05)72.7% (1.053 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Mirandes 52.18%
    Ponferradina 23.38%
    Draw 24.43%
MirandesDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.295 0.3)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.21 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 52.18%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 23.38%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2022 1pm
Mirandes
3-1
Ponferradina
Camello (10', 52'), Marques (23')
Lopez (60'), Vicente (68')
Pascanu (77')
Anton (44'), Adot (46'), Copete (65')
Dec 5, 2021 1pm
Ponferradina
2-1
Mirandes
De Souza (23', 90+2')
Naranjo (47')
Carreira (69')
Meseguer (28')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Ponferradina
1-0
Mirandes
Sielva (53')
Amo (39')

Meseguer (24'), Martin (25'), Cristo (90+1'), Trigueros (90+1')
Martin (73')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Mirandes
0-1
Ponferradina

Jimenez (31'), Ezzarfani (41'), Vivian (85')
Pascanu (69')
Antonio Caro (90+3'), Adot (90+6')
Jun 21, 2020 4pm
Mirandes
1-2
Ponferradina
Barco (33')
Crisetig (18'), Onaindia (52'), Kijera (57'), Martinez (65'), Sagnan (71')
Martinez (76')
Valcarce (28', 83')
Trigueros (42'), Rodriguez (67')