Ponferradina vs Lugo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ponferradina in this match.