Segunda Division | Gameweek 20
Dec 11, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Toralín

Ponferradina
1 - 0
Lugo

Naranjo (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

All competitions
Last Game: Levante 0-0 Ponferradina
Thursday, December 8 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Lugo

All competitions
Last Game: Lugo 0-1 Sporting Gijon
Thursday, December 8 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ponferradina in this match.

Result
PonferradinaDrawLugo
45.35% (0.553 0.55)26.56% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)28.09% (-0.468 -0.47)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.22% (0.087999999999994 0.09)54.78% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (0.071000000000002 0.07)76.09% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (0.31 0.31)24.07% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (0.437 0.44)58.36% (-0.436 -0.44)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (-0.319 -0.32)34.62% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (-0.341 -0.34)71.35% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 45.35%
    Lugo 28.09%
    Draw 26.56%
PonferradinaDrawLugo
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.35%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.09%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 1pm
Ponferradina
3-1
Lugo
Espiau (13'), Naranjo (52'), Ojeda (54')
Amo (11'), Medina (19')
Moyano (89')
Alende (47')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Lugo
1-2
Ponferradina
Antonio Ros (57')
Joselu (90+3')
Medina (39'), Enrich (90+4')
Amo (65'), Enrich (76')
Apr 24, 2021 7.30pm
Ponferradina
2-0
Lugo
Adot (10'), De Souza (78')
Curro (28'), Aizpuru (62')

Rama (28'), Juanpe (34'), Campabadal (39'), Angel Carrillo (90+2')
Dec 11, 2020 6pm
Lugo
1-0
Ponferradina
Rama (81')

Antonio Rios (41'), Larrea (56')
Curro (43')
Jul 8, 2020 8.45pm
Ponferradina
0-1
Lugo

Aizpuru (45+5'), Sielva (67')
Barreiro (88' pen.)
Djalo (10'), Hacen (32'), Barreiro (36'), Canella (44'), Peybernes (76')