Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.